Ask Candy: Honestly, Will Preston Hollow/Park Cities Values Drop Further?

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A reader writes:

Dear Candy:

I was wondering if you could provide some unbiased perspective on the market in the nice areas of Preston Hollow/Park Cities, say the 1.5 -3.5 million range.  My wife and I are going to be  moving back to Dallas after about 8 years away, and despite the downturn prices seem much higher than we were last there in 2002.  At the same time I have been watching the MLS and most high end properties seem to just sit or be taken off the market to reappear a couple months later as a new listing.

What are your thoughts? Is this a buyers market or would waiting make sense with the expectation of further softening?  The last thing we want is to buy a house and have it drop 15% in value over the next 2 years.

Cheers,

J

Dear J: Despite Bob Shiller’s gloom and doom message last week, which applies to the entire country, Dallas real estate is hanging in there. Prices are still higher than they were when you guys left here in 2002, but not as high as they were at the peak, 2006. According to the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University,¬† 10,628 existing single-family homes were sold in Texas last month. That’s a 2¬†percent increase over a year ago. It’s not a huge increase, but the arrow is still going up.

The median price was also up 2 percent from January 2010, at $139,100. There was a 7.3-month inventory.

2043 homes were sold in Dallas in January, which is down 8% from last January (THINK: first time homebuyer’s credit) but you will love this — the average home price in Dallas is up 7% to $150,100. There is a little over six months of inventory on the market, which is considered normal.

Are there more foreclosures coming? Yes. In fact, you ought to look for one.

My advice: buy this year, wrestle the best deal you can. Costs associated with buying are gong to get higher even if prices drop a point or two.

Candyland, what do you think? The comments are open!

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Candy Evans, founder and publisher of CandysDirt.com, is one of the nation’s leading real estate reporters.

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  1. Bryan Crawford on March 1, 2011 at 10:03 am

    J,
    If you want me to send you a list of Preston Hollow and Park Cities Foreclosures I would be more then happy. Candy is right, there are some deals to be had out there as well as some crappy built homes because people just were throwing up any "box" they could. I just did a search for Reo/Lender owned properties in Preston Hollow & Park Cities $1 Million and up. There are currently 6 active properties and 5 Pending sales. Including a home on Normandy that is 8000 sq ft, 8 bedrooms, 8.1 baths reduced to $2.9 Million.
    -Bryan Crawford
    [email protected]

  2. Bryan Crawford on March 1, 2011 at 10:03 am

    J,
    If you want me to send you a list of Preston Hollow and Park Cities Foreclosures I would be more then happy. Candy is right, there are some deals to be had out there as well as some crappy built homes because people just were throwing up any "box" they could. I just did a search for Reo/Lender owned properties in Preston Hollow & Park Cities $1 Million and up. There are currently 6 active properties and 5 Pending sales. Including a home on Normandy that is 8000 sq ft, 8 bedrooms, 8.1 baths reduced to $2.9 Million.
    -Bryan Crawford
    [email protected]

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  5. Jace Pelletier on March 2, 2011 at 12:02 am

    Did you read what Candy just posted? I have also seen a lot of cash sales going on and think this year is the sweet spot, next 18 months. I don't think you will save significantly by waiting. Start looking now. The inventory being held at bay by the banks may not be all that great

  6. Jace Pelletier on March 2, 2011 at 12:02 am

    Did you read what Candy just posted? I have also seen a lot of cash sales going on and think this year is the sweet spot, next 18 months. I don't think you will save significantly by waiting. Start looking now. The inventory being held at bay by the banks may not be all that great

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