My Big Fat Sales Price: Is The Dallas Real Estate Market Getting Too Hot?

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caseshiller chartIf it’s under $1.5 million, it’s flying off the shelves. I have just heard about a new record sale in Devonshire: $50,000 over list, a bidding war of 3 to 5 buyers, cash, so when the appraisal won’t support the sales price, it won’t matter. But that big fat sales price WILL count for the next Devonshire transaction. Up, up, up they go.

The new Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller Home Price Index shows May Dallas home prices up 8.8%, which was more than twice the nationwide gain in April.

And get this: Dallas had the third highest home price rise in the country, THE THIRD! We were (at 8.8%) just behind Denver, 10.3 percent and San Francisco, at 10 percent.

“Home prices continue to rise across the country, but the pace is not accelerating,” says David M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “Moreover, consumer expectations are consistent with the current pace of price increases.

What does that mean? That consumers are OK with paying through the nose? I know salaries are keeping up with home prices, and fed up renters are trying mightily to get into the housing market. It’s just tough to save for a 20% down payment when your rent keeps going up.

Dallas area home prices are now at a record high, and 15 percent above the peak of the insane housing market before the last great big recession. That’s for moderately priced homes.

$150,000 to $1.5 million: flying off the shelves

$1.6 to $3 million: strong market, strong sales, fewer buyers

$3.1 to $7 million: $7 million seems to be the magic cut off number for higher net worth folks looking for a new luxury home.

$10 million and above — soft — except for the bidding war that got 9806 Inwood Road sold for about $5 million over asking.

At NAREE in Miami, we were told that higher interest rates will definitely cool the jets come fall. Do you think it will?

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Candy Evans, founder and publisher of CandysDirt.com, is one of the nation’s leading real estate reporters.

2 Comments

  1. Kathy on July 2, 2015 at 1:03 pm

    Candy, you say salaries are keeping up with home prices? I would ask whose salary is rising this fast? I know many people who are at the same salary for several years as their companies still are not giving raises or others who merely got 3% raise last year. Not enough to keep up with rising food and utilities and housing costs. I went to an Inspire Dallas meeting last Fall and I believe they said the average family income in Dallas was around $50,000 or just under that. With such high rents, lower income older adults on social security are feeling the pinch. The Dallas area home market is rapidly becoming unaffordable for most people.

    • Candy Evans on July 2, 2015 at 6:14 pm

      I am going to dig into my notes and find this tidbit from last weeks’ conference. Back to you in a few.

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