In Part One of this look into the end of affordable housing in the Dallas-Fort Worth region, we discussed the giant void of quality homes under $200,000. This void will continue to move housing prices upward, force buyers to spend more than they should, and create a stagnant sales economy in our community. Neglecting the needs for a large segment of the population will have a dramatic effect on the housing industry in all price points.
What’s The Problem?
When I first started selling homes in the early 2000s for a D/FW-based tract home builder, the homes were listed from $85,000 to $135,000. Yes, they were located in a rural area where there weren’t a lot of high paying jobs, but the point is that the developer was able to sell land to the builder who was able to offer a new home for a reasonable price.
And now that is an impossibility.
A quick search at newhomesource.com for homes under $200,000 in D/FW Metroplex shows that out of 78 eligible communities there is ONE community that matches that criteria … and it’s not anywhere close to an area of growth or demand. The inability to purchase land, develop it, and sell to builders to then build homes under $200,000 — or even under $300,000 — is remote and rare. Therein lies the problem.
Who’s to Blame?
When playing the “Blame Game,” the finger should be pointed at everyone.
Raw land costs. Material costs. Development costs. Shortage of labor. Increasing fees and regulations from local governments. Need to be profitable. Greed of sellers to get as much as they can out of the transaction. All are major factors in this crisis.
In the Great Recession, developers completely shut down buying raw land and spending money on the infrastructure necessary to sell to home builders. Builders were too busy trying to reduce their inventory without going out of business. They certainly were not thinking about expansion.
Laborers were being taken advantage of from builders just to stay busy. Material manufacturers were cutting all sorts of deals to move their products.
We all knew it would happen. I read numerous articles about how there would be a huge void in new construction options once the Great Recession ended. Sure enough, those warnings came to fruition and now costs are much higher.
Local governments are also a huge contributor to this problem. The overall greed and laziness of our cities in the increase of taxes, fees, oversight, and regulations are forcing developers and builders to pass those costs on to the consumer. This greed is causing delays and delays cost money.
New Homes vs. Existing Homes
According to the National Association of Home Builders, “The cost of building a new home has increased over 30 percent in the last five years. New construction now costs on average $100,000 more than an existing home. The D/FW Metroplex has one of the fastest increases in home prices in the country.”
Once again, this cannot be sustainable and this is certainly not good if the Metroplex desires to continue to entice large corporations to move to the area and tout a relatively low cost of living. As we discussed in the previous article, existing homes are at an all-time high in price and an all-time low in inventory. Now we’ve established that new construction is at an all-time high in price. Something has to be done, and yet very few are acknowledging or discussing it.
So Why Should We Care?
I know what many of you are thinking. “Shaddup Bow Tie Realtor! Nothing to see here! Times are good!” And you’re probably right. Maybe this a all much ado about nothing. But do you really believe that? Something has to change. Builders are currently building at a median starting price of $350,000. Those that can afford homes upwards of that price represent a fraction of the market. So if builders are catering to the minority of those looking to buy a home, what about everyone else?
In my next posts I’m going to share what it’s like for those prospective buyers who are eager, able, and willing, but constantly run into the “Multiple Offer Wall.” We’ll also throw out a few ideas and suggestions for ways to bring solution to this ever-increasing crisis. Who knows, maybe these posts will actually start a dialogue among those that can bring change. Maybe nothing happens. Maybe the worst happens. At the very least we need to start the discussion.
Well that’s all from Tarrant County this week, Dirty Readers. Remember, if you have comments, questions, or ideas for future stories – I’m always here to listen! Bring it.
Seth Fowler is a licensed real estate sales professional with Williams Trew Real Estate in Fort Worth. Statements and opinions are his own. Seth has been involved in the home sales and real estate business in DFW since 2004. He and his family have lived in the Fort Worth area for over 14 years. Also, Seth loves bow ties. You can reach Seth at 817.980.6636 or firstname.lastname@example.org.